Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 58.400893 65.521345 72.890717 81.065925 89.859805 99.013903 109.242241
2025-03-30 46.794032 57.102534 68.371728 81.511663 96.317666 112.394116 131.077571
2025-04-06 40.409764 52.325086 65.852699 82.157209 101.085232 122.184175 147.295094
2025-04-13 34.034659 46.673187 61.546885 80.030372 102.071226 127.213483 157.756149
2025-04-20 31.329058 45.002200 61.560144 82.630361 108.272214 138.028888 174.723807
2025-04-27 28.549536 42.901178 60.763815 84.005635 112.825339 146.794848 189.251499
2025-05-04 25.910324 40.696652 59.595210 84.709063 116.398698 154.289291 202.227811
2025-05-11 24.622955 40.138567 60.410501 87.816001 122.885066 165.294354 219.465440
2025-05-18 22.733056 38.574299 59.763388 88.929313 126.795687 173.121816 232.872506
2025-05-25 20.006227 35.590639 57.013245 87.112838 126.833044 176.057118 240.226371
2025-06-01 17.885032 33.294220 55.030507 86.158854 127.852632 180.126996 248.925934
2025-06-08 16.284660 31.634746 53.812335 86.128465 129.995035 185.564233 259.316113
2025-06-15 15.575008 31.329877 54.537280 88.824259 135.857579 195.919720 276.154364
2025-06-22 14.347942 30.104325 53.857056 89.524575 139.053209 202.891620 288.808085
2025-06-29 13.228439 28.947031 53.188438 90.167000 142.120035 209.675143 301.233259
2025-07-06 11.505020 26.604117 50.585891 87.906482 141.113707 211.059001 306.678246
2025-07-13 11.112555 26.538222 51.457831 90.679504 147.057893 221.622777 324.044035
2025-07-20 10.459739 25.945337 51.460944 92.147060 151.180134 229.794047 338.358195
2025-07-27 9.708631 25.100971 51.009130 92.897215 154.275860 236.602276 350.929727
2025-08-03 9.524119 25.309736 52.253838 96.209517 161.026843 248.365195 370.084169
2025-08-10 8.942949 24.697509 52.114743 97.395860 164.745116 256.059940 383.930908
2025-08-17 7.850138 22.955110 49.998247 95.460075 163.912998 257.542203 389.539027
2025-08-24 7.014156 21.640988 48.522261 94.443125 164.350620 260.716670 397.380024